Short-term forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather and regional outlooks point to typical mid-July subtropical conditions in Shenzhen, with daytime highs near the 32°C seasonal average amid high humidity and variable monsoon moisture. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, where differences hinge on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any localized convective activity that could cap peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for slightly warmer outcomes. Historical analogs show July maxima frequently falling in this narrow band unless stronger typhoon influences or clearer anticyclonic patterns emerge, with final resolution depending on official station data for the exact daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 27?
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
29°C 20%
32°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 27, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
29°C 20%
32°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 27, 2026
27°C or below
$244 Обс.
4%
28°C
$565 Обс.
13%
29°C
$344 Обс.
20%
30°C
$493 Обс.
27%
31°C
$193 Обс.
27%
32°C
$196 Обс.
14%
33°C
$163 Обс.
6%
34°C
$186 Обс.
2%
35°C
$334 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$522 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$787 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather and regional outlooks point to typical mid-July subtropical conditions in Shenzhen, with daytime highs near the 32°C seasonal average amid high humidity and variable monsoon moisture. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, where differences hinge on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any localized convective activity that could cap peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for slightly warmer outcomes. Historical analogs show July maxima frequently falling in this narrow band unless stronger typhoon influences or clearer anticyclonic patterns emerge, with final resolution depending on official station data for the exact daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,026Дата завершення
Jul 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather and regional outlooks point to typical mid-July subtropical conditions in Shenzhen, with daytime highs near the 32°C seasonal average amid high humidity and variable monsoon moisture. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, where differences hinge on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any localized convective activity that could cap peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for slightly warmer outcomes. Historical analogs show July maxima frequently falling in this narrow band unless stronger typhoon influences or clearer anticyclonic patterns emerge, with final resolution depending on official station data for the exact daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,026Дата завершення
Jul 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather and regional outlooks point to typical mid-July subtropical conditions in Shenzhen, with daytime highs near the 32°C seasonal average amid high humidity and variable monsoon moisture. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, where differences hinge on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any localized convective activity that could cap peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for slightly warmer outcomes. Historical analogs show July maxima frequently falling in this narrow band unless stronger typhoon influences or clearer anticyclonic patterns emerge, with final resolution depending on official station data for the exact daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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