The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 31.6°C at its headquarters on May 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "31°C or higher," as this official measurement—taken via standardized instrumentation at the reference station—defines market resolution. A southerly airstream brought warm, humid air masses over the region, combined with sunny periods and light winds that minimized cloud cover and enhanced daytime solar heating, aligning with HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal May temperatures amid a projected hot 2026. While data revisions from quality checks are exceedingly rare for settled observations, an unprecedented instrument malfunction or audit uncovering measurement error could theoretically challenge this positioning before final confirmation in the monthly summary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 12?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$436,853 Обс.
$436,853 Обс.
May 12, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$436,853 Обс.
$436,853 Обс.
May 12, 2026
21°C or below
$4,910 Обс.
No
22°C
$2,040 Обс.
No
23°C
$3,658 Обс.
No
24°C
$7,804 Обс.
No
25°C
$6,291 Обс.
No
26°C
$75,727 Обс.
No
27°C
$23,842 Обс.
No
28°C
$43,398 Обс.
No
29°C
$39,740 Обс.
No
30°C
$101,422 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$128,023 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 31.6°C at its headquarters on May 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "31°C or higher," as this official measurement—taken via standardized instrumentation at the reference station—defines market resolution. A southerly airstream brought warm, humid air masses over the region, combined with sunny periods and light winds that minimized cloud cover and enhanced daytime solar heating, aligning with HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal May temperatures amid a projected hot 2026. While data revisions from quality checks are exceedingly rare for settled observations, an unprecedented instrument malfunction or audit uncovering measurement error could theoretically challenge this positioning before final confirmation in the monthly summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$436,853Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 31.6°C at its headquarters on May 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "31°C or higher," as this official measurement—taken via standardized instrumentation at the reference station—defines market resolution. A southerly airstream brought warm, humid air masses over the region, combined with sunny periods and light winds that minimized cloud cover and enhanced daytime solar heating, aligning with HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal May temperatures amid a projected hot 2026. While data revisions from quality checks are exceedingly rare for settled observations, an unprecedented instrument malfunction or audit uncovering measurement error could theoretically challenge this positioning before final confirmation in the monthly summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$436,853Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 31.6°C at its headquarters on May 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "31°C or higher," as this official measurement—taken via standardized instrumentation at the reference station—defines market resolution. A southerly airstream brought warm, humid air masses over the region, combined with sunny periods and light winds that minimized cloud cover and enhanced daytime solar heating, aligning with HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal May temperatures amid a projected hot 2026. While data revisions from quality checks are exceedingly rare for settled observations, an unprecedented instrument malfunction or audit uncovering measurement error could theoretically challenge this positioning before final confirmation in the monthly summary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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