Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,055 Обс.
$53,055 Обс.
Apr 18, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,055 Обс.
$53,055 Обс.
Apr 18, 2026
9°C or below
$944 Обс.
No
10°C
$1,156 Обс.
No
11°C
$2,535 Обс.
No
12°C
$7,131 Обс.
No
13°C
$10,134 Обс.
No
14°C
$11,892 Обс.
Yes
15°C
$9,534 Обс.
No
16°C
$4,382 Обс.
No
17°C
$2,112 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,694 Обс.
No
19°C or higher
$1,540 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ET
Обсяг
$53,055Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$53,055Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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