**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 28?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 28?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,896 Обс.
$53,896 Обс.
Apr 28, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,896 Обс.
$53,896 Обс.
Apr 28, 2026
9°C or below
$855 Обс.
No
10°C
$1,511 Обс.
No
11°C
$3,804 Обс.
No
12°C
$3,176 Обс.
No
13°C
$4,870 Обс.
Yes
14°C
$18,600 Обс.
No
15°C
$3,576 Обс.
No
16°C
$6,407 Обс.
No
17°C
$4,822 Обс.
No
18°C
$3,087 Обс.
No
19°C or higher
$3,188 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$53,896Дата завершення
Apr 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$53,896Дата завершення
Apr 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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