Current forecast models from AEMET and international sources indicate a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Madrid on July 27 under clear skies and weak winds, driving the market’s concentration on those outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promotes strong daytime radiative heating across the central Iberian Plateau, with typical July climatology and urban heat-island effects in the city center supporting values near the upper end of seasonal norms. Recent model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and downslope warming from surrounding sierras, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 35°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours from national meteorological services will likely refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on July 27?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 27?
35°C 55%
36°C 22%
34°C 19%
32°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 27, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C
19%
35°C
55%
36°C
22%
37°C
2%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
2%
35°C 55%
36°C 22%
34°C 19%
32°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 27, 2026
29°C or below
$102 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$48 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$134 Обс.
1%
32°C
$15 Обс.
6%
33°C
$81 Обс.
5%
34°C
$883 Обс.
19%
35°C
$181 Обс.
55%
36°C
$149 Обс.
22%
37°C
$95 Обс.
2%
38°C
$15 Обс.
5%
39°C or higher
$15 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from AEMET and international sources indicate a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Madrid on July 27 under clear skies and weak winds, driving the market’s concentration on those outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promotes strong daytime radiative heating across the central Iberian Plateau, with typical July climatology and urban heat-island effects in the city center supporting values near the upper end of seasonal norms. Recent model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and downslope warming from surrounding sierras, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 35°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours from national meteorological services will likely refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,719Дата завершення
Jul 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from AEMET and international sources indicate a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Madrid on July 27 under clear skies and weak winds, driving the market’s concentration on those outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promotes strong daytime radiative heating across the central Iberian Plateau, with typical July climatology and urban heat-island effects in the city center supporting values near the upper end of seasonal norms. Recent model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and downslope warming from surrounding sierras, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 35°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours from national meteorological services will likely refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,719Дата завершення
Jul 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from AEMET and international sources indicate a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Madrid on July 27 under clear skies and weak winds, driving the market’s concentration on those outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promotes strong daytime radiative heating across the central Iberian Plateau, with typical July climatology and urban heat-island effects in the city center supporting values near the upper end of seasonal norms. Recent model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and downslope warming from surrounding sierras, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 35°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours from national meteorological services will likely refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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