**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 29?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 29?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$73,472 Обс.
$73,472 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$73,472 Обс.
$73,472 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
10°C or below
$474 Обс.
No
11°C
$759 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,913 Обс.
No
13°C
$24,272 Обс.
No
14°C
$10,454 Обс.
Yes
15°C
$6,108 Обс.
No
16°C
$6,153 Обс.
No
17°C
$7,510 Обс.
No
18°C
$8,427 Обс.
No
19°C
$5,382 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$2,020 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Обсяг
$73,472Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$73,472Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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