Official NOAA surface observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest air temperature on April 30 reached 14°C during midday hours, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool continental air and extensive cloud cover that capped daytime heating below the seasonal April average of 15-16°C. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast runs, updated within the last 24 hours, showed strong model consensus for this subdued peak, reflecting the dominant low-pressure trough over the Black Sea region. With evening conditions stable and temperatures falling, traders' 100% implied probability on 14°C represents ironclad data-driven sentiment; only an anomalous late-night measurement revision by NOAA could challenge it, though synoptic patterns make this highly improbable. Final daily data release expected soon from monitoring agencies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 30?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 30?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$55,071 Обс.
$55,071 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$55,071 Обс.
$55,071 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
10°C or below
$2,565 Обс.
No
11°C
$2,357 Обс.
No
12°C
$2,104 Обс.
No
13°C
$19,393 Обс.
No
14°C
$9,851 Обс.
Yes
15°C
$6,627 Обс.
No
16°C
$3,877 Обс.
No
17°C
$3,435 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,461 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,183 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$1,217 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA surface observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest air temperature on April 30 reached 14°C during midday hours, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool continental air and extensive cloud cover that capped daytime heating below the seasonal April average of 15-16°C. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast runs, updated within the last 24 hours, showed strong model consensus for this subdued peak, reflecting the dominant low-pressure trough over the Black Sea region. With evening conditions stable and temperatures falling, traders' 100% implied probability on 14°C represents ironclad data-driven sentiment; only an anomalous late-night measurement revision by NOAA could challenge it, though synoptic patterns make this highly improbable. Final daily data release expected soon from monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$55,071Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA surface observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest air temperature on April 30 reached 14°C during midday hours, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool continental air and extensive cloud cover that capped daytime heating below the seasonal April average of 15-16°C. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast runs, updated within the last 24 hours, showed strong model consensus for this subdued peak, reflecting the dominant low-pressure trough over the Black Sea region. With evening conditions stable and temperatures falling, traders' 100% implied probability on 14°C represents ironclad data-driven sentiment; only an anomalous late-night measurement revision by NOAA could challenge it, though synoptic patterns make this highly improbable. Final daily data release expected soon from monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$55,071Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official NOAA surface observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest air temperature on April 30 reached 14°C during midday hours, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool continental air and extensive cloud cover that capped daytime heating below the seasonal April average of 15-16°C. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast runs, updated within the last 24 hours, showed strong model consensus for this subdued peak, reflecting the dominant low-pressure trough over the Black Sea region. With evening conditions stable and temperatures falling, traders' 100% implied probability on 14°C represents ironclad data-driven sentiment; only an anomalous late-night measurement revision by NOAA could challenge it, though synoptic patterns make this highly improbable. Final daily data release expected soon from monitoring agencies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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