Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 3?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,834 Обс.
$17,834 Обс.
Jun 3, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,834 Обс.
$17,834 Обс.
Jun 3, 2026
18°C or below
$436 Обс.
No
19°C
$436 Обс.
No
20°C
$551 Обс.
No
21°C
$561 Обс.
No
22°C
$546 Обс.
No
23°C
$1,404 Обс.
No
24°C
$657 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,095 Обс.
No
26°C
$2,943 Обс.
No
27°C
$4,737 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$4,468 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,834Дата завершення
Jun 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$17,834Дата завершення
Jun 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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