Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$94,971 Обс.
$94,971 Обс.
Jun 5, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$94,971 Обс.
$94,971 Обс.
Jun 5, 2026
21°C or below
$17,552 Обс.
No
22°C
$26,261 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$18,573 Обс.
No
24°C
$10,419 Обс.
No
25°C
$5,685 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,901 Обс.
No
27°C
$3,256 Обс.
No
28°C
$2,130 Обс.
No
29°C
$2,218 Обс.
No
30°C
$2,489 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$2,485 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Обсяг
$94,971Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$94,971Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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