Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on May 9, backed by near-complete NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 24°C amid mild southerly winds (10-18 km/h), partial cloud cover, and hazy conditions typical of early May's transitional weather. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model runs from May 8 forecasting highs of 23-25°C, influenced by warm air advection from the Mediterranean and above-average seasonal norms (historical May average ~21°C). With the dataset largely finalized 24 hours post-event, revision risk is minimal; only an improbable official NOAA adjustment to a higher reading from overlooked hourly data could challenge this positioning, pending final timeseries confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 9?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,146 Обс.
$92,146 Обс.
May 9, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,146 Обс.
$92,146 Обс.
May 9, 2026
17°C or below
$3,114 Обс.
No
18°C
$3,285 Обс.
No
19°C
$8,085 Обс.
No
20°C
$6,384 Обс.
No
21°C
$1,585 Обс.
No
22°C
$2,767 Обс.
No
23°C
$25,707 Обс.
No
24°C
$13,151 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$11,325 Обс.
No
26°C
$9,335 Обс.
No
27°C or higher
$7,408 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on May 9, backed by near-complete NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 24°C amid mild southerly winds (10-18 km/h), partial cloud cover, and hazy conditions typical of early May's transitional weather. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model runs from May 8 forecasting highs of 23-25°C, influenced by warm air advection from the Mediterranean and above-average seasonal norms (historical May average ~21°C). With the dataset largely finalized 24 hours post-event, revision risk is minimal; only an improbable official NOAA adjustment to a higher reading from overlooked hourly data could challenge this positioning, pending final timeseries confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$92,146Дата завершення
May 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on May 9, backed by near-complete NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 24°C amid mild southerly winds (10-18 km/h), partial cloud cover, and hazy conditions typical of early May's transitional weather. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model runs from May 8 forecasting highs of 23-25°C, influenced by warm air advection from the Mediterranean and above-average seasonal norms (historical May average ~21°C). With the dataset largely finalized 24 hours post-event, revision risk is minimal; only an improbable official NOAA adjustment to a higher reading from overlooked hourly data could challenge this positioning, pending final timeseries confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$92,146Дата завершення
May 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on May 9, backed by near-complete NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 24°C amid mild southerly winds (10-18 km/h), partial cloud cover, and hazy conditions typical of early May's transitional weather. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model runs from May 8 forecasting highs of 23-25°C, influenced by warm air advection from the Mediterranean and above-average seasonal norms (historical May average ~21°C). With the dataset largely finalized 24 hours post-event, revision risk is minimal; only an improbable official NOAA adjustment to a higher reading from overlooked hourly data could challenge this positioning, pending final timeseries confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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