Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on April 26?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 26?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,635 Обс.
$48,635 Обс.
Apr 26, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,635 Обс.
$48,635 Обс.
Apr 26, 2026
27°C or below
$4,491 Обс.
No
28°C
$12,114 Обс.
No
29°C
$1,880 Обс.
No
30°C
$2,016 Обс.
No
31°C
$3,715 Обс.
No
32°C
$11,783 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$2,874 Обс.
No
34°C
$2,692 Обс.
No
35°C
$2,496 Обс.
No
36°C
$2,533 Обс.
No
37°C or higher
$2,041 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$48,635Дата завершення
Apr 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$48,635Дата завершення
Apr 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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