Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on July 18?
Highest temperature in London on July 18?
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$218,330 Обс.
$218,330 Обс.
Jul 18, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$218,330 Обс.
$218,330 Обс.
Jul 18, 2026
20°C or below
$19,697 Обс.
No
21°C
$45,240 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$36,248 Обс.
No
23°C
$32,061 Обс.
No
24°C
$26,937 Обс.
No
25°C
$19,105 Обс.
No
26°C
$14,864 Обс.
No
27°C
$9,755 Обс.
No
28°C
$6,629 Обс.
No
29°C
$7,580 Обс.
No
30°C or higher
$215 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$218,330Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$218,330Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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