High pressure building over southern England is driving settled, sunny conditions for London on June 19, with southerly flow advecting warmer air and supporting peak temperatures near 30–31°C according to Met Office and ensemble guidance. This creates tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes because forecast maxima sit at the boundary where small differences in timing, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. Official resolution relies on the highest reading at an approved Met Office station, where urban heat-island effects and precise wind direction add further variability. Latest model runs show limited spread around this range, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on June 19?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$199,939 Обс.
$199,939 Обс.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$199,939 Обс.
$199,939 Обс.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 17, 2026, 2:50 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
High pressure building over southern England is driving settled, sunny conditions for London on June 19, with southerly flow advecting warmer air and supporting peak temperatures near 30–31°C according to Met Office and ensemble guidance. This creates tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes because forecast maxima sit at the boundary where small differences in timing, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. Official resolution relies on the highest reading at an approved Met Office station, where urban heat-island effects and precise wind direction add further variability. Latest model runs show limited spread around this range, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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