Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on May 4?
Highest temperature in London on May 4?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$347,218 Обс.
$347,218 Обс.
May 4, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$347,218 Обс.
$347,218 Обс.
May 4, 2026
12°C or below
$4,270 Обс.
No
13°C
$3,233 Обс.
No
14°C
$5,791 Обс.
No
15°C
$110,289 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$69,072 Обс.
No
17°C
$55,665 Обс.
No
18°C
$31,470 Обс.
No
19°C
$30,859 Обс.
No
20°C
$19,216 Обс.
No
21°C
$11,316 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$6,037 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Обсяг
$347,218Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$347,218Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання