Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$50,850 Обс.
$50,850 Обс.
May 1, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$50,850 Обс.
$50,850 Обс.
May 1, 2026
53°F or below
$123 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$122 Обс.
No
56-57°F
$863 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$479 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$3,551 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$3,727 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$4,910 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$8,347 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$11,518 Обс.
Yes
70-71°F
$8,356 Обс.
No
72°F or higher
$8,854 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Обсяг
$50,850Дата завершення
May 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$50,850Дата завершення
May 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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