India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 24?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 24?
42°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
43°C <1%
$78,791 Обс.
$78,791 Обс.
Apr 24, 2026
40°C or below
No
41°C
No
42°C
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
42°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
43°C <1%
$78,791 Обс.
$78,791 Обс.
Apr 24, 2026
40°C or below
$6,642 Обс.
No
41°C
$9,117 Обс.
No
42°C
$29,746 Обс.
Yes
43°C
$12,895 Обс.
No
44°C
$6,894 Обс.
No
45°C
$4,179 Обс.
No
46°C
$2,282 Обс.
No
47°C
$2,270 Обс.
No
48°C
$1,524 Обс.
No
49°C
$1,077 Обс.
No
50°C or higher
$2,166 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 22, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$78,791Дата завершення
Apr 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$78,791Дата завершення
Apr 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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