Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on April 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$98,229 Обс.
$98,229 Обс.
Apr 19, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$98,229 Обс.
$98,229 Обс.
Apr 19, 2026
21°C or below
$2,055 Обс.
No
22°C
$2,569 Обс.
No
23°C
$1,784 Обс.
No
24°C
$2,731 Обс.
No
25°C
$6,090 Обс.
No
26°C
$13,984 Обс.
No
27°C
$26,769 Обс.
No
28°C
$14,090 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$12,982 Обс.
No
30°C
$9,105 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$6,071 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$98,229Дата завершення
Apr 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$98,229Дата завершення
Apr 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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