Forecast models from European meteorological centers indicate a building heatwave across central Spain, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover expected to drive Madrid's July 19 maximum into the mid-30s Celsius. Recent updates show temperatures climbing from mid-July baselines, consistent with the market's emphasis on 36°C and 37°C outcomes as the most probable. Ensemble guidance places the daily high near 34–37°C depending on exact steering flows and urban heat-island effects, while climatological July averages near 32°C provide context for the elevated risk. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on July 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 19?
36°C 76%
37°C 15%
35°C 10%
34°C <1%
$54,612 Обс.
$54,612 Обс.
Jul 19, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
10%
36°C
76%
37°C
15%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 76%
37°C 15%
35°C 10%
34°C <1%
$54,612 Обс.
$54,612 Обс.
Jul 19, 2026
31°C or below
$261 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$448 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$2,037 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$5,460 Обс.
1%
35°C
$8,065 Обс.
10%
36°C
$15,789 Обс.
76%
37°C
$16,040 Обс.
15%
38°C
$2,769 Обс.
1%
39°C
$1,869 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$1,583 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$291 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological centers indicate a building heatwave across central Spain, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover expected to drive Madrid's July 19 maximum into the mid-30s Celsius. Recent updates show temperatures climbing from mid-July baselines, consistent with the market's emphasis on 36°C and 37°C outcomes as the most probable. Ensemble guidance places the daily high near 34–37°C depending on exact steering flows and urban heat-island effects, while climatological July averages near 32°C provide context for the elevated risk. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$54,612Дата завершення
Jul 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological centers indicate a building heatwave across central Spain, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover expected to drive Madrid's July 19 maximum into the mid-30s Celsius. Recent updates show temperatures climbing from mid-July baselines, consistent with the market's emphasis on 36°C and 37°C outcomes as the most probable. Ensemble guidance places the daily high near 34–37°C depending on exact steering flows and urban heat-island effects, while climatological July averages near 32°C provide context for the elevated risk. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$54,612Дата завершення
Jul 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European meteorological centers indicate a building heatwave across central Spain, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover expected to drive Madrid's July 19 maximum into the mid-30s Celsius. Recent updates show temperatures climbing from mid-July baselines, consistent with the market's emphasis on 36°C and 37°C outcomes as the most probable. Ensemble guidance places the daily high near 34–37°C depending on exact steering flows and urban heat-island effects, while climatological July averages near 32°C provide context for the elevated risk. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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