Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on July 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 1?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$136,479 Обс.
$136,479 Обс.
Jul 1, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$136,479 Обс.
$136,479 Обс.
Jul 1, 2026
26°C or below
$14,601 Обс.
No
27°C
$18,536 Обс.
No
28°C
$19,716 Обс.
No
29°C
$17,050 Обс.
No
30°C
$14,084 Обс.
No
31°C
$15,064 Обс.
No
32°C
$10,072 Обс.
No
33°C
$10,778 Обс.
No
34°C
$6,493 Обс.
Yes
35°C
$4,959 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$5,128 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$136,479Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$136,479Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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