Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on June 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 5?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,856 Обс.
$32,856 Обс.
Jun 5, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,856 Обс.
$32,856 Обс.
Jun 5, 2026
25°C or below
$405 Обс.
No
26°C
$493 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,393 Обс.
No
28°C
$4,703 Обс.
No
29°C
$6,371 Обс.
No
30°C
$6,352 Обс.
Yes
31°C
$2,754 Обс.
No
32°C
$3,588 Обс.
No
33°C
$3,244 Обс.
No
34°C
$2,533 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$1,021 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,856Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$32,856Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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