Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 7?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,420 Обс.
$40,420 Обс.
Jul 7, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,420 Обс.
$40,420 Обс.
Jul 7, 2026
18°C or below
$2,086 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,424 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,219 Обс.
No
21°C
$4,443 Обс.
No
22°C
$5,617 Обс.
No
23°C
$6,831 Обс.
No
24°C
$6,140 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$2,316 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,560 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,495 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$2,289 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$40,420Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$40,420Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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