Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Miami on July 30, aligning with the market’s 44% implied probability for 94–95 °F. Late-July subtropical conditions, including high moisture content and limited sea-breeze cooling under light steering flow, routinely support daytime maxima near or slightly above the 90 °F July climatological average. The 2026 season’s elevated heat-index accumulation—already exceeding prior records through late July—reflects persistent warm advection that has kept daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s, sustaining trader preference for the upper end of the distribution. Shorter-range model updates expected overnight will refine wind and cloud-cover details that can shift the final observed maximum by 1–2 °F.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on July 30?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 30?
94-95°F 45%
92-93°F 22%
96-97°F 22%
90-91°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 30, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
45%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 45%
92-93°F 22%
96-97°F 22%
90-91°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 30, 2026
85°F or below
$13 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$17 Обс.
2%
88-89°F
$20 Обс.
4%
90-91°F
$43 Обс.
6%
92-93°F
$192 Обс.
22%
94-95°F
$560 Обс.
45%
96-97°F
$210 Обс.
22%
98-99°F
$142 Обс.
6%
100-101°F
$567 Обс.
2%
102-103°F
$11 Обс.
1%
104°F or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Miami on July 30, aligning with the market’s 44% implied probability for 94–95 °F. Late-July subtropical conditions, including high moisture content and limited sea-breeze cooling under light steering flow, routinely support daytime maxima near or slightly above the 90 °F July climatological average. The 2026 season’s elevated heat-index accumulation—already exceeding prior records through late July—reflects persistent warm advection that has kept daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s, sustaining trader preference for the upper end of the distribution. Shorter-range model updates expected overnight will refine wind and cloud-cover details that can shift the final observed maximum by 1–2 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 28, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,791Дата завершення
Jul 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Miami on July 30, aligning with the market’s 44% implied probability for 94–95 °F. Late-July subtropical conditions, including high moisture content and limited sea-breeze cooling under light steering flow, routinely support daytime maxima near or slightly above the 90 °F July climatological average. The 2026 season’s elevated heat-index accumulation—already exceeding prior records through late July—reflects persistent warm advection that has kept daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s, sustaining trader preference for the upper end of the distribution. Shorter-range model updates expected overnight will refine wind and cloud-cover details that can shift the final observed maximum by 1–2 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,791Дата завершення
Jul 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Miami on July 30, aligning with the market’s 44% implied probability for 94–95 °F. Late-July subtropical conditions, including high moisture content and limited sea-breeze cooling under light steering flow, routinely support daytime maxima near or slightly above the 90 °F July climatological average. The 2026 season’s elevated heat-index accumulation—already exceeding prior records through late July—reflects persistent warm advection that has kept daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s, sustaining trader preference for the upper end of the distribution. Shorter-range model updates expected overnight will refine wind and cloud-cover details that can shift the final observed maximum by 1–2 °F.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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