Current National Weather Service guidance points to a sunny, hot Thursday with a forecast high near 100 °F under light southwest flow, roughly 4 °F above the July 30 normal of 96 °F at Houston Intercontinental. Model consensus remains tight on minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105 °F, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (38.5 %) to 96–97 °F. This reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any late sea-breeze influence that could cap the peak 2–4 °F below guidance. Historical July extremes and recent multi-day heat persistence keep 98–101 °F ranges viable but lower-probability outcomes in the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on July 30?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 30?
96-97°F 47%
94-95°F 31%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 30, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
47%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 47%
94-95°F 31%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 30, 2026
87°F or below
$298 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$28 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$290 Обс.
1%
92-93°F
$88 Обс.
4%
94-95°F
$135 Обс.
31%
96-97°F
$312 Обс.
47%
98-99°F
$65 Обс.
16%
100-101°F
$75 Обс.
4%
102-103°F
$65 Обс.
2%
104-105°F
$90 Обс.
<1%
106°F or higher
$56 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance points to a sunny, hot Thursday with a forecast high near 100 °F under light southwest flow, roughly 4 °F above the July 30 normal of 96 °F at Houston Intercontinental. Model consensus remains tight on minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105 °F, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (38.5 %) to 96–97 °F. This reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any late sea-breeze influence that could cap the peak 2–4 °F below guidance. Historical July extremes and recent multi-day heat persistence keep 98–101 °F ranges viable but lower-probability outcomes in the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,503Дата завершення
Jul 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance points to a sunny, hot Thursday with a forecast high near 100 °F under light southwest flow, roughly 4 °F above the July 30 normal of 96 °F at Houston Intercontinental. Model consensus remains tight on minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105 °F, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (38.5 %) to 96–97 °F. This reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any late sea-breeze influence that could cap the peak 2–4 °F below guidance. Historical July extremes and recent multi-day heat persistence keep 98–101 °F ranges viable but lower-probability outcomes in the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,503Дата завершення
Jul 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance points to a sunny, hot Thursday with a forecast high near 100 °F under light southwest flow, roughly 4 °F above the July 30 normal of 96 °F at Houston Intercontinental. Model consensus remains tight on minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105 °F, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (38.5 %) to 96–97 °F. This reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any late sea-breeze influence that could cap the peak 2–4 °F below guidance. Historical July extremes and recent multi-day heat persistence keep 98–101 °F ranges viable but lower-probability outcomes in the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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