National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 88°F around 11 a.m. local time, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome as automated surface observing system data finalized the daily maximum. This aligns with pre-event NWS forecasts projecting upper-80s highs under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity typical for early May in South Florida, where climatological averages hover near 86°F. With the market now resolved on official records, realistic challenges are negligible—only a rare post-validation revision by NOAA climatologists could shift the outcome, a scenario with negligible historical precedent for settled daily peaks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on May 5?
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$72,135 Обс.
$72,135 Обс.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$72,135 Обс.
$72,135 Обс.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 88°F around 11 a.m. local time, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome as automated surface observing system data finalized the daily maximum. This aligns with pre-event NWS forecasts projecting upper-80s highs under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity typical for early May in South Florida, where climatological averages hover near 86°F. With the market now resolved on official records, realistic challenges are negligible—only a rare post-validation revision by NOAA climatologists could shift the outcome, a scenario with negligible historical precedent for settled daily peaks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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