Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on July 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 18?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$64,864 Обс.
$64,864 Обс.
Jul 18, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$64,864 Обс.
$64,864 Обс.
Jul 18, 2026
28°C or below
$2,359 Обс.
No
29°C
$1,079 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,413 Обс.
No
31°C
$5,565 Обс.
No
32°C
$10,025 Обс.
No
33°C
$13,455 Обс.
No
34°C
$12,716 Обс.
Yes
35°C
$6,617 Обс.
No
36°C
$5,185 Обс.
No
37°C
$3,759 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$689 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$64,864Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$64,864Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання