Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on July 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 16?
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$52,320 Обс.
$52,320 Обс.
Jul 16, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$52,320 Обс.
$52,320 Обс.
Jul 16, 2026
16°C or below
$2,238 Обс.
No
17°C
$4,672 Обс.
No
18°C
$5,689 Обс.
No
19°C
$13,209 Обс.
Yes
20°C
$6,873 Обс.
No
21°C
$5,135 Обс.
No
22°C
$4,890 Обс.
No
23°C
$3,026 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,348 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,487 Обс.
No
26°C or higher
$753 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$52,320Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$52,320Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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