**Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to daytime maxima near 29–31°C for Qingdao on June 27, 2026, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C+ bins.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet late-June insolation, potential weak high-pressure influence, and southerly flow can push readings into the low 30s when skies clear and winds remain light. Historical June averages hover around 24–28°C, with occasional excursions above 30°C even absent strong heatwaves, aligning with the observed pricing that places roughly 80% probability on 30°C or higher. Uncertainty stems from small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model spread between global ensembles, which can alter the peak by 1–2°C. No major heatwave alerts have been issued, but the current consensus favors the upper end of normal variability. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 27?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 27?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$78,843 Обс.
$78,843 Обс.
Jun 27, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$78,843 Обс.
$78,843 Обс.
Jun 27, 2026
22°C or below
$4,738 Обс.
No
23°C
$11,021 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,474 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,697 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,748 Обс.
No
27°C
$13,760 Обс.
No
28°C
$6,090 Обс.
No
29°C
$5,144 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,490 Обс.
No
31°C
$7,997 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$16,682 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to daytime maxima near 29–31°C for Qingdao on June 27, 2026, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C+ bins.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet late-June insolation, potential weak high-pressure influence, and southerly flow can push readings into the low 30s when skies clear and winds remain light. Historical June averages hover around 24–28°C, with occasional excursions above 30°C even absent strong heatwaves, aligning with the observed pricing that places roughly 80% probability on 30°C or higher.
Uncertainty stems from small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model spread between global ensembles, which can alter the peak by 1–2°C. No major heatwave alerts have been issued, but the current consensus favors the upper end of normal variability. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$78,843Дата завершення
Jun 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to daytime maxima near 29–31°C for Qingdao on June 27, 2026, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C+ bins.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet late-June insolation, potential weak high-pressure influence, and southerly flow can push readings into the low 30s when skies clear and winds remain light. Historical June averages hover around 24–28°C, with occasional excursions above 30°C even absent strong heatwaves, aligning with the observed pricing that places roughly 80% probability on 30°C or higher.
Uncertainty stems from small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model spread between global ensembles, which can alter the peak by 1–2°C. No major heatwave alerts have been issued, but the current consensus favors the upper end of normal variability. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$78,843Дата завершення
Jun 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to daytime maxima near 29–31°C for Qingdao on June 27, 2026, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C+ bins.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet late-June insolation, potential weak high-pressure influence, and southerly flow can push readings into the low 30s when skies clear and winds remain light. Historical June averages hover around 24–28°C, with occasional excursions above 30°C even absent strong heatwaves, aligning with the observed pricing that places roughly 80% probability on 30°C or higher. Uncertainty stems from small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model spread between global ensembles, which can alter the peak by 1–2°C. No major heatwave alerts have been issued, but the current consensus favors the upper end of normal variability. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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