Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 24°C high in Qingdao today at the Jiaodong International Airport station, reflecting finalized China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS that pinpoint peak daytime heating at 24°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This follows a weak cold front on May 2–3 that capped highs at 18–20°C amid showers, now yielding to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and seasonal early-May norms (historical averages 20–23°C), with Yellow Sea moderation preventing extremes. Real-time observations through midday confirm the trajectory, though late-day sea breeze intensification or enhanced mixing could nudge it to 23°C or 25°C; Wunderground's daily record will finalize resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 4?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 4?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$32,174 Обс.
$32,174 Обс.
May 4, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$32,174 Обс.
$32,174 Обс.
May 4, 2026
19°C or below
$9,479 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,900 Обс.
No
21°C
$3,172 Обс.
No
22°C
$4,006 Обс.
No
23°C
$2,021 Обс.
No
24°C
$2,836 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$2,893 Обс.
No
26°C
$2,323 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,625 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,144 Обс.
No
29°C or higher
$773 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 24°C high in Qingdao today at the Jiaodong International Airport station, reflecting finalized China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS that pinpoint peak daytime heating at 24°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This follows a weak cold front on May 2–3 that capped highs at 18–20°C amid showers, now yielding to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and seasonal early-May norms (historical averages 20–23°C), with Yellow Sea moderation preventing extremes. Real-time observations through midday confirm the trajectory, though late-day sea breeze intensification or enhanced mixing could nudge it to 23°C or 25°C; Wunderground's daily record will finalize resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,174Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 24°C high in Qingdao today at the Jiaodong International Airport station, reflecting finalized China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS that pinpoint peak daytime heating at 24°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This follows a weak cold front on May 2–3 that capped highs at 18–20°C amid showers, now yielding to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and seasonal early-May norms (historical averages 20–23°C), with Yellow Sea moderation preventing extremes. Real-time observations through midday confirm the trajectory, though late-day sea breeze intensification or enhanced mixing could nudge it to 23°C or 25°C; Wunderground's daily record will finalize resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$32,174Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 24°C high in Qingdao today at the Jiaodong International Airport station, reflecting finalized China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS that pinpoint peak daytime heating at 24°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This follows a weak cold front on May 2–3 that capped highs at 18–20°C amid showers, now yielding to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and seasonal early-May norms (historical averages 20–23°C), with Yellow Sea moderation preventing extremes. Real-time observations through midday confirm the trajectory, though late-day sea breeze intensification or enhanced mixing could nudge it to 23°C or 25°C; Wunderground's daily record will finalize resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання