National Weather Service observations confirm that San Francisco's maximum temperature on June 1 reached at least 68°F, driving the market-implied probability for this outcome to 100%. This result aligns with early-June climatology at downtown stations, where average highs typically fall in the mid- to upper 60s, and reflects specific atmospheric conditions including a shallow marine layer and modest offshore flow that limited Pacific cooling. Ensemble model guidance had projected 68–71°F under these patterns. Resolution depends strictly on the official daily climatological report, so revisions to station data or measurement methodology remain the only realistic factors that could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 1?
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$27,075 Обс.
$27,075 Обс.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$27,075 Обс.
$27,075 Обс.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: May 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
National Weather Service observations confirm that San Francisco's maximum temperature on June 1 reached at least 68°F, driving the market-implied probability for this outcome to 100%. This result aligns with early-June climatology at downtown stations, where average highs typically fall in the mid- to upper 60s, and reflects specific atmospheric conditions including a shallow marine layer and modest offshore flow that limited Pacific cooling. Ensemble model guidance had projected 68–71°F under these patterns. Resolution depends strictly on the official daily climatological report, so revisions to station data or measurement methodology remain the only realistic factors that could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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