Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 7?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 7?
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$42,033 Обс.
$42,033 Обс.
May 7, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$42,033 Обс.
$42,033 Обс.
May 7, 2026
47°F or below
$2,715 Обс.
No
48-49°F
$1,437 Обс.
No
50-51°F
$1,266 Обс.
No
52-53°F
$3,221 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$1,780 Обс.
No
56-57°F
$2,769 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$3,053 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$5,967 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$6,483 Обс.
Yes
64-65°F
$4,425 Обс.
No
66°F or higher
$8,917 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,033Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$42,033Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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