Trader consensus in this narrow range around 70-73°F reflects high uncertainty in short-range model guidance for Seattle's maximum temperature tomorrow, driven by variable marine layer depth and onshore flow from the Pacific. National Weather Service and NOAA ensembles show modest warming potential from weak high pressure but limited by typical August coastal cooling and possible afternoon cloud cover, keeping outcomes below seasonal normals near 78°F. Key differentiators include precise timing of any sea breeze or wind shift that could cap or enhance daytime heating, with resolution hinging on official Sea-Tac observations. Historical August variability underscores why probabilities remain split rather than concentrated.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on August 2?
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 9%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 9%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this narrow range around 70-73°F reflects high uncertainty in short-range model guidance for Seattle's maximum temperature tomorrow, driven by variable marine layer depth and onshore flow from the Pacific. National Weather Service and NOAA ensembles show modest warming potential from weak high pressure but limited by typical August coastal cooling and possible afternoon cloud cover, keeping outcomes below seasonal normals near 78°F. Key differentiators include precise timing of any sea breeze or wind shift that could cap or enhance daytime heating, with resolution hinging on official Sea-Tac observations. Historical August variability underscores why probabilities remain split rather than concentrated.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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