**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C for Shanghai’s July 3 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance showing highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Climatological July averages place daytime peaks at 30–32°C, yet the immediate forecast incorporates modest cooling from increased cloud cover and rainfall that limits insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of convective cells, which can shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop before afternoon heating maxima, versus clearer intervals allowing temperatures to reach the upper end of guidance. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability that keeps adjacent 1°C bins nearly equally probable in the market. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 3?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$222,150 Обс.
$222,150 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$222,150 Обс.
$222,150 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
24°C or below
$2,775 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,777 Обс.
No
26°C
$8,438 Обс.
No
27°C
$12,162 Обс.
No
28°C
$11,892 Обс.
No
29°C
$18,847 Обс.
No
30°C
$22,612 Обс.
No
31°C
$48,598 Обс.
No
32°C
$50,856 Обс.
No
33°C
$23,734 Обс.
Yes
34°C or higher
$20,459 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C for Shanghai’s July 3 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance showing highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.**
Climatological July averages place daytime peaks at 30–32°C, yet the immediate forecast incorporates modest cooling from increased cloud cover and rainfall that limits insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of convective cells, which can shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop before afternoon heating maxima, versus clearer intervals allowing temperatures to reach the upper end of guidance. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability that keeps adjacent 1°C bins nearly equally probable in the market. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$222,150Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C for Shanghai’s July 3 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance showing highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.**
Climatological July averages place daytime peaks at 30–32°C, yet the immediate forecast incorporates modest cooling from increased cloud cover and rainfall that limits insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of convective cells, which can shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop before afternoon heating maxima, versus clearer intervals allowing temperatures to reach the upper end of guidance. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability that keeps adjacent 1°C bins nearly equally probable in the market. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$222,150Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C for Shanghai’s July 3 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance showing highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Climatological July averages place daytime peaks at 30–32°C, yet the immediate forecast incorporates modest cooling from increased cloud cover and rainfall that limits insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of convective cells, which can shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop before afternoon heating maxima, versus clearer intervals allowing temperatures to reach the upper end of guidance. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability that keeps adjacent 1°C bins nearly equally probable in the market. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання