Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 12?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$275,944 Обс.
$275,944 Обс.
May 12, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$275,944 Обс.
$275,944 Обс.
May 12, 2026
25°C or below
$18,367 Обс.
No
26°C
$16,771 Обс.
No
27°C
$18,032 Обс.
No
28°C
$56,280 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$43,282 Обс.
No
30°C
$24,511 Обс.
No
31°C
$20,946 Обс.
No
32°C
$32,042 Обс.
No
33°C
$19,465 Обс.
No
34°C
$14,396 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$11,853 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$275,944Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$275,944Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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