Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on May 6?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 6?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$70,271 Обс.
$70,271 Обс.
May 6, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$70,271 Обс.
$70,271 Обс.
May 6, 2026
25°C or below
$1,033 Обс.
No
26°C
$1,023 Обс.
No
27°C
$672 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,122 Обс.
No
29°C
$8,852 Обс.
No
30°C
$6,111 Обс.
No
31°C
$12,075 Обс.
Yes
32°C
$11,032 Обс.
No
33°C
$10,047 Обс.
No
34°C
$11,377 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$6,928 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 4, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$70,271Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$70,271Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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