The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on June 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 5?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$99,838 Обс.
$99,838 Обс.
Jun 5, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$99,838 Обс.
$99,838 Обс.
Jun 5, 2026
24°C or below
$3,382 Обс.
No
25°C
$9,705 Обс.
No
26°C
$2,372 Обс.
No
27°C
$5,942 Обс.
No
28°C
$34,527 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$8,787 Обс.
No
30°C
$9,490 Обс.
No
31°C
$6,479 Обс.
No
32°C
$4,699 Обс.
No
33°C
$5,939 Обс.
No
34°C or higher
$8,516 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$99,838Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$99,838Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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