Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on May 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 3?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,723 Обс.
$72,723 Обс.
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,723 Обс.
$72,723 Обс.
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
$3,243 Обс.
No
28°C
$5,442 Обс.
No
29°C
$4,767 Обс.
No
30°C
$12,723 Обс.
No
31°C
$10,206 Обс.
Yes
32°C
$6,275 Обс.
No
33°C
$4,955 Обс.
No
34°C
$7,666 Обс.
No
35°C
$7,651 Обс.
No
36°C
$5,618 Обс.
No
37°C or higher
$4,178 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$72,723Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$72,723Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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