Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on August 1 will likely peak near 34–35°C under typical summer conditions of clear skies, high solar insolation, and moderating northwesterly sea breezes from the Mediterranean. These factors, combined with current late-July observations around 28–30°C and no incoming synoptic heatwave or pressure shift, support the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 34°C and 35°C. Minor model disagreements on exact wind strength or boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that could shift the maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology near 31–32°C provides context for why extremes above 36°C remain low-probability outcomes. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 1?
35°C 47%
34°C 35%
36°C 17%
39°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
35%
35°C
47%
36°C
17%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 47%
34°C 35%
36°C 17%
39°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
$204 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$72 Обс.
1%
33°C
$104 Обс.
2%
34°C
$280 Обс.
35%
35°C
$434 Обс.
47%
36°C
$114 Обс.
17%
37°C
$261 Обс.
2%
38°C
$82 Обс.
1%
39°C
$10 Обс.
2%
40°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$52 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on August 1 will likely peak near 34–35°C under typical summer conditions of clear skies, high solar insolation, and moderating northwesterly sea breezes from the Mediterranean. These factors, combined with current late-July observations around 28–30°C and no incoming synoptic heatwave or pressure shift, support the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 34°C and 35°C. Minor model disagreements on exact wind strength or boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that could shift the maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology near 31–32°C provides context for why extremes above 36°C remain low-probability outcomes. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,634Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on August 1 will likely peak near 34–35°C under typical summer conditions of clear skies, high solar insolation, and moderating northwesterly sea breezes from the Mediterranean. These factors, combined with current late-July observations around 28–30°C and no incoming synoptic heatwave or pressure shift, support the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 34°C and 35°C. Minor model disagreements on exact wind strength or boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that could shift the maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology near 31–32°C provides context for why extremes above 36°C remain low-probability outcomes. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,634Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on August 1 will likely peak near 34–35°C under typical summer conditions of clear skies, high solar insolation, and moderating northwesterly sea breezes from the Mediterranean. These factors, combined with current late-July observations around 28–30°C and no incoming synoptic heatwave or pressure shift, support the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 34°C and 35°C. Minor model disagreements on exact wind strength or boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that could shift the maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology near 31–32°C provides context for why extremes above 36°C remain low-probability outcomes. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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