**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 20?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,426 Обс.
$39,426 Обс.
Jun 20, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,426 Обс.
$39,426 Обс.
Jun 20, 2026
26°C or below
$653 Обс.
No
27°C
$548 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,896 Обс.
No
29°C
$9,864 Обс.
No
30°C
$8,968 Обс.
Yes
31°C
$5,959 Обс.
No
32°C
$6,864 Обс.
No
33°C
$2,538 Обс.
No
34°C
$1,591 Обс.
No
35°C
$361 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$185 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$39,426Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$39,426Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання