Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on June 20, consistent with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that brings frequent cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. This setup typically suppresses daytime maxima by limiting surface heating and promoting evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring highs near 23–24 °C rather than the seasonal sunny-day peaks around 26–28 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through changes in shortwave radiation and local advection. Recent guidance indicates no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would push temperatures higher, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on moderate values supported by these persistent meteorological conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 20?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 20?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$95,906 Обс.
$95,906 Обс.
Jun 20, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$95,906 Обс.
$95,906 Обс.
Jun 20, 2026
18°C or below
$1,192 Обс.
No
19°C
$434 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,060 Обс.
No
21°C
$6,601 Обс.
No
22°C
$24,955 Обс.
No
23°C
$12,694 Обс.
No
24°C
$17,760 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$13,565 Обс.
No
26°C
$6,615 Обс.
No
27°C
$5,520 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$5,511 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on June 20, consistent with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that brings frequent cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. This setup typically suppresses daytime maxima by limiting surface heating and promoting evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring highs near 23–24 °C rather than the seasonal sunny-day peaks around 26–28 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through changes in shortwave radiation and local advection. Recent guidance indicates no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would push temperatures higher, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on moderate values supported by these persistent meteorological conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$95,906Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on June 20, consistent with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that brings frequent cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. This setup typically suppresses daytime maxima by limiting surface heating and promoting evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring highs near 23–24 °C rather than the seasonal sunny-day peaks around 26–28 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through changes in shortwave radiation and local advection. Recent guidance indicates no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would push temperatures higher, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on moderate values supported by these persistent meteorological conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$95,906Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on June 20, consistent with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that brings frequent cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. This setup typically suppresses daytime maxima by limiting surface heating and promoting evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring highs near 23–24 °C rather than the seasonal sunny-day peaks around 26–28 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through changes in shortwave radiation and local advection. Recent guidance indicates no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would push temperatures higher, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on moderate values supported by these persistent meteorological conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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