Recent forecast model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency show modest disagreement on Tokyo's June 24 daytime high, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough, combined with variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, creates the primary uncertainty range. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum near the seasonal normal of roughly 25 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any coastal sea breeze or afternoon convection could easily move the observed high one degree either way. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs that will be refreshed within the next 24–48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 24?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 24?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,513 Обс.
$98,513 Обс.
Jun 24, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,513 Обс.
$98,513 Обс.
Jun 24, 2026
20°C or below
$6,006 Обс.
No
21°C
$31,052 Обс.
No
22°C
$3,432 Обс.
No
23°C
$4,008 Обс.
No
24°C
$12,871 Обс.
No
25°C
$21,545 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$8,187 Обс.
No
27°C
$5,411 Обс.
No
28°C
$4,815 Обс.
No
29°C
$638 Обс.
No
30°C or higher
$546 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency show modest disagreement on Tokyo's June 24 daytime high, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough, combined with variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, creates the primary uncertainty range. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum near the seasonal normal of roughly 25 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any coastal sea breeze or afternoon convection could easily move the observed high one degree either way. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs that will be refreshed within the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$98,513Дата завершення
Jun 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency show modest disagreement on Tokyo's June 24 daytime high, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough, combined with variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, creates the primary uncertainty range. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum near the seasonal normal of roughly 25 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any coastal sea breeze or afternoon convection could easily move the observed high one degree either way. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs that will be refreshed within the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$98,513Дата завершення
Jun 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecast model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency show modest disagreement on Tokyo's June 24 daytime high, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough, combined with variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, creates the primary uncertainty range. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum near the seasonal normal of roughly 25 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any coastal sea breeze or afternoon convection could easily move the observed high one degree either way. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs that will be refreshed within the next 24–48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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