Current midday observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source, have already surpassed 25°C under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher as the day's highest temperature. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts a peak of 28°C, supported by ensemble model agreement on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and above-normal spring conditions in the Kanto region—historical May 2 averages sit at 22°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data and stable upper-air patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds dimming late-afternoon insolation or a sudden cool front, though JMA's evening update shows no such signals; final Haneda data finalizes post-midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 2?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$61,684 Обс.
$61,684 Обс.
May 2, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$61,684 Обс.
$61,684 Обс.
May 2, 2026
15°C or below
$2,351 Обс.
No
16°C
$1,647 Обс.
No
17°C
$1,199 Обс.
No
18°C
$2,059 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,892 Обс.
No
20°C
$4,267 Обс.
No
21°C
$7,713 Обс.
No
22°C
$9,321 Обс.
No
23°C
$8,064 Обс.
No
24°C
$10,058 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$13,113 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current midday observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source, have already surpassed 25°C under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher as the day's highest temperature. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts a peak of 28°C, supported by ensemble model agreement on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and above-normal spring conditions in the Kanto region—historical May 2 averages sit at 22°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data and stable upper-air patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds dimming late-afternoon insolation or a sudden cool front, though JMA's evening update shows no such signals; final Haneda data finalizes post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$61,684Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current midday observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source, have already surpassed 25°C under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher as the day's highest temperature. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts a peak of 28°C, supported by ensemble model agreement on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and above-normal spring conditions in the Kanto region—historical May 2 averages sit at 22°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data and stable upper-air patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds dimming late-afternoon insolation or a sudden cool front, though JMA's evening update shows no such signals; final Haneda data finalizes post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$61,684Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current midday observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source, have already surpassed 25°C under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher as the day's highest temperature. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts a peak of 28°C, supported by ensemble model agreement on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and above-normal spring conditions in the Kanto region—historical May 2 averages sit at 22°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data and stable upper-air patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds dimming late-afternoon insolation or a sudden cool front, though JMA's evening update shows no such signals; final Haneda data finalizes post-midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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