Recent official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 22, locking in the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global numerical weather prediction models converged tightly on a 14–17°C range, reflecting modest upper-level ridging and limited boundary-layer moisture that suppressed afternoon heating near late-May climatological norms. This strong model consensus, validated by surface data, left minimal uncertainty for resolution. Only an unforecasted localized thermal surge or station microclimate anomaly could have pushed readings outside the 16°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on May 22?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 22?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$51,610 Обс.
$51,610 Обс.
May 22, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$51,610 Обс.
$51,610 Обс.
May 22, 2026
10°C or below
$2,754 Обс.
No
11°C
$1,406 Обс.
No
12°C
$3,018 Обс.
No
13°C
$4,586 Обс.
No
14°C
$5,809 Обс.
No
15°C
$7,071 Обс.
No
16°C
$6,702 Обс.
Yes
17°C
$7,528 Обс.
No
18°C
$6,798 Обс.
No
19°C
$3,961 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$1,976 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 22, locking in the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global numerical weather prediction models converged tightly on a 14–17°C range, reflecting modest upper-level ridging and limited boundary-layer moisture that suppressed afternoon heating near late-May climatological norms. This strong model consensus, validated by surface data, left minimal uncertainty for resolution. Only an unforecasted localized thermal surge or station microclimate anomaly could have pushed readings outside the 16°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$51,610Дата завершення
May 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 22, locking in the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global numerical weather prediction models converged tightly on a 14–17°C range, reflecting modest upper-level ridging and limited boundary-layer moisture that suppressed afternoon heating near late-May climatological norms. This strong model consensus, validated by surface data, left minimal uncertainty for resolution. Only an unforecasted localized thermal surge or station microclimate anomaly could have pushed readings outside the 16°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$51,610Дата завершення
May 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 22, locking in the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global numerical weather prediction models converged tightly on a 14–17°C range, reflecting modest upper-level ridging and limited boundary-layer moisture that suppressed afternoon heating near late-May climatological norms. This strong model consensus, validated by surface data, left minimal uncertainty for resolution. Only an unforecasted localized thermal surge or station microclimate anomaly could have pushed readings outside the 16°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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