Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 11?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$48,630 Обс.
$48,630 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$48,630 Обс.
$48,630 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
18°C or below
$2,834 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,834 Обс.
No
20°C
$5,556 Обс.
No
21°C
$13,948 Обс.
No
22°C
$9,992 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$5,773 Обс.
No
24°C
$4,188 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,214 Обс.
No
26°C
$1,402 Обс.
No
27°C
$475 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$415 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$48,630Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$48,630Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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