Forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Warsaw's June 20 high will likely reach 30–32°C under sunny conditions with light winds, driven by a warming trend and high-pressure influence advecting warmer air masses. This aligns with the market's concentration on 30–32°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting model consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF on peak daytime temperatures. Recent stabilization in short-range guidance, with June 19 highs already climbing toward 27–29°C, has reinforced trader focus on these values while capping odds on extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context for the anomaly, though uncertainty in exact model runs could still shift the official reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 20?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 20?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$51,225 Обс.
$51,225 Обс.
Jun 20, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$51,225 Обс.
$51,225 Обс.
Jun 20, 2026
24°C or below
$276 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,775 Обс.
No
26°C
$1,571 Обс.
No
27°C
$2,412 Обс.
No
28°C
$4,160 Обс.
No
29°C
$7,201 Обс.
No
30°C
$12,636 Обс.
Yes
31°C
$6,974 Обс.
No
32°C
$5,049 Обс.
No
33°C
$4,066 Обс.
No
34°C or higher
$5,106 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Warsaw's June 20 high will likely reach 30–32°C under sunny conditions with light winds, driven by a warming trend and high-pressure influence advecting warmer air masses. This aligns with the market's concentration on 30–32°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting model consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF on peak daytime temperatures. Recent stabilization in short-range guidance, with June 19 highs already climbing toward 27–29°C, has reinforced trader focus on these values while capping odds on extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context for the anomaly, though uncertainty in exact model runs could still shift the official reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$51,225Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Warsaw's June 20 high will likely reach 30–32°C under sunny conditions with light winds, driven by a warming trend and high-pressure influence advecting warmer air masses. This aligns with the market's concentration on 30–32°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting model consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF on peak daytime temperatures. Recent stabilization in short-range guidance, with June 19 highs already climbing toward 27–29°C, has reinforced trader focus on these values while capping odds on extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context for the anomaly, though uncertainty in exact model runs could still shift the official reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$51,225Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Warsaw's June 20 high will likely reach 30–32°C under sunny conditions with light winds, driven by a warming trend and high-pressure influence advecting warmer air masses. This aligns with the market's concentration on 30–32°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting model consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF on peak daytime temperatures. Recent stabilization in short-range guidance, with June 19 highs already climbing toward 27–29°C, has reinforced trader focus on these values while capping odds on extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context for the anomaly, though uncertainty in exact model runs could still shift the official reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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