Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 24?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 24?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,164 Обс.
$45,164 Обс.
Jun 24, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,164 Обс.
$45,164 Обс.
Jun 24, 2026
22°C or below
$332 Обс.
No
23°C
$882 Обс.
No
24°C
$1,966 Обс.
No
25°C
$5,172 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,555 Обс.
No
27°C
$8,816 Обс.
No
28°C
$6,645 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$8,405 Обс.
No
30°C
$4,704 Обс.
No
31°C
$3,463 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$1,223 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,164Дата завершення
Jun 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$45,164Дата завершення
Jun 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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