Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 26?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 26?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,687 Обс.
$56,687 Обс.
Jun 26, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,687 Обс.
$56,687 Обс.
Jun 26, 2026
26°C or below
$1,240 Обс.
No
27°C
$5,442 Обс.
No
28°C
$798 Обс.
No
29°C
$5,027 Обс.
No
30°C
$4,976 Обс.
No
31°C
$6,534 Обс.
No
32°C
$17,574 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$6,924 Обс.
No
34°C
$5,763 Обс.
No
35°C
$1,386 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$1,022 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$56,687Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$56,687Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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