Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 29?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,075 Обс.
$118,075 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,075 Обс.
$118,075 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
11°C or below
$6,269 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,452 Обс.
No
13°C
$6,261 Обс.
No
14°C
$2,295 Обс.
No
15°C
$2,421 Обс.
No
16°C
$16,021 Обс.
No
17°C
$6,832 Обс.
No
18°C
$23,951 Обс.
No
19°C
$24,886 Обс.
Yes
20°C
$18,023 Обс.
No
21°C or higher
$9,665 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$118,075Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$118,075Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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