Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 15°C at Wellington International Airport on April 30, 2026, backed by official MetService observations and Weather Underground archives confirming the daily maximum peaked at exactly 15°C. This aligns precisely with MetService's pre-dawn forecast projecting a 15°C high amid a cool southerly airflow replacing yesterday's warmer northwesterlies, which had pushed temperatures to 17°C; mainly fine skies and a chilly 6°C overnight low further capped daytime warming potential. April climatology typically sees Wellington highs near 17°C, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and light winds limited solar heating. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-finalization data revision uncovering an overlooked peak, though MetService verification processes make this improbable as the day concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 30?
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$145,439 Обс.
$145,439 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$145,439 Обс.
$145,439 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
8°C or below
$1,774 Обс.
No
9°C
$980 Обс.
No
10°C
$11,259 Обс.
No
11°C
$770 Обс.
No
12°C
$2,018 Обс.
No
13°C
$22,631 Обс.
No
14°C
$28,766 Обс.
No
15°C
$37,160 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$20,534 Обс.
No
17°C
$10,168 Обс.
No
18°C or higher
$9,379 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 15°C at Wellington International Airport on April 30, 2026, backed by official MetService observations and Weather Underground archives confirming the daily maximum peaked at exactly 15°C. This aligns precisely with MetService's pre-dawn forecast projecting a 15°C high amid a cool southerly airflow replacing yesterday's warmer northwesterlies, which had pushed temperatures to 17°C; mainly fine skies and a chilly 6°C overnight low further capped daytime warming potential. April climatology typically sees Wellington highs near 17°C, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and light winds limited solar heating. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-finalization data revision uncovering an overlooked peak, though MetService verification processes make this improbable as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Обсяг
$145,439Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 2:21 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 15°C at Wellington International Airport on April 30, 2026, backed by official MetService observations and Weather Underground archives confirming the daily maximum peaked at exactly 15°C. This aligns precisely with MetService's pre-dawn forecast projecting a 15°C high amid a cool southerly airflow replacing yesterday's warmer northwesterlies, which had pushed temperatures to 17°C; mainly fine skies and a chilly 6°C overnight low further capped daytime warming potential. April climatology typically sees Wellington highs near 17°C, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and light winds limited solar heating. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-finalization data revision uncovering an overlooked peak, though MetService verification processes make this improbable as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$145,439Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 2:21 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 15°C at Wellington International Airport on April 30, 2026, backed by official MetService observations and Weather Underground archives confirming the daily maximum peaked at exactly 15°C. This aligns precisely with MetService's pre-dawn forecast projecting a 15°C high amid a cool southerly airflow replacing yesterday's warmer northwesterlies, which had pushed temperatures to 17°C; mainly fine skies and a chilly 6°C overnight low further capped daytime warming potential. April climatology typically sees Wellington highs near 17°C, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and light winds limited solar heating. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-finalization data revision uncovering an overlooked peak, though MetService verification processes make this improbable as the day concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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