**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on July 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 2?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$72,269 Обс.
$72,269 Обс.
Jul 2, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$72,269 Обс.
$72,269 Обс.
Jul 2, 2026
6°C or below
$8,429 Обс.
No
7°C
$5,339 Обс.
No
8°C
$1,386 Обс.
No
9°C
$2,301 Обс.
No
10°C
$3,422 Обс.
No
11°C
$6,484 Обс.
No
12°C
$17,138 Обс.
No
13°C
$14,249 Обс.
Yes
14°C
$6,481 Обс.
No
15°C
$4,117 Обс.
No
16°C or higher
$2,925 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$72,269Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$72,269Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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