Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$80,284 Обс.
$80,284 Обс.
Jun 2, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$80,284 Обс.
$80,284 Обс.
Jun 2, 2026
10°C or below
$347 Обс.
No
11°C
$534 Обс.
No
12°C
$277 Обс.
No
13°C
$928 Обс.
No
14°C
$6,928 Обс.
No
15°C
$9,565 Обс.
No
16°C
$7,705 Обс.
No
17°C
$11,434 Обс.
No
18°C
$11,901 Обс.
No
19°C
$11,825 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$18,840 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$80,284Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$80,284Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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